Like you, I don't think Tony is anything like Russell. But, Tony's paranoia is going to cost him jury votes. His scorched earth game strategy would make him a decent goat to bring to the final 3. Breaking up the 6, which affects their game play, voting out LJ after he played an idol for Tony, etc. doesn't endear you to the jury.
Maybe its the editing, but it appears that only Trish can see through all this and how it affects the other people in their alliance. I was dissapointed that Woo and Spencer seemed to just roll along with everything Tony was suggesting. I can see why Tony would want to get LJ off, having a lot of strong men or women left is potentially dangerous, but this didn't appear to be the right time to make the move he did last night.