AntFTW

1) I'm sorry to see Tori go but I'm glad to see Jenna compete again like she used to. I wish Tori went against someone I didn't like, like Dee. 2) I said this last week and I'm going reiterate... Nelson sucks at this game. He's not winning EVER. He yells and lashes out at people , then apologizes and says it's not in his character... YES IT IS!!! 3) The first hour is an hour wasted. It looks like they're going back to the formal of bullshit, then challenge, then more bullshit, and then elimination... I'd much prefer that rather than the elimination being at the top of the episode or in the middle. 4) I'm disappointed there was no funny Aneesa confessional this week. 5) I hate to see Big T downplay herself, but at the same time, I like the hustle. 6) Every elimination is chancy, even if it's a seemingly win. Other than Jenn, I don't consider anyone else a layup. Everybody thought Jenna was gonna be such an easy win... but Tori's strategy was kinda stupid. The first few moments of the elimination challenge is what gave Jenna that slight lead over Tori. An elimination like that, anybody could have won. There would be no "easy red skulls" in an elimination like that. The playing field is even.

I thought she was overselling it when she offered to buy the rice with her fire tokens. You have to know its bullshit then. No matter what. if you're truly on the bottom and about to be voted out, you scramble. You go to other people who are also on the bottom. Nobody enters this game to roll over, even when it looks like they have no options.

I never touched on this so here goes. So... I'm guessing Jordan is gonna try to get the house to vote in Tori. I don't believe Nany and Jenna will want to go into elimination next week. I think Nany picked solely for safety and not so much giving Jenna the choice of whether she wants to go into elimination or not. The house picks Tori and the Tribunal picks some people to trade favors with plus someone that Tori wants. That's my guess.

I think Nick was ultimately doomed no matter what. Without the advantage, he would have survived one more TC assuming Michele didn't win the challenge. The moment he got caught in that lie about blindsiding Tony, Nick was playing from the bottom ever since... he just didn't know it. The moment Nick voted out Jeremy, his game was over. He must've thought his acting skills were flawless.

I interpreted that as Nick’s demand for advantages and no one willing to supply him with any.

Specifically looking at the social aspect of the game, I'm starting to think Sarah believes her social game will beat Tony's (thinking back to the episode where they did the 2020 Survivor Fashion Week lol). Sarah hasn't really pissed anyone off. I'm beginning to think that Sarah thinks her social game is better and therefore will deliver her the win, even if Tony is at the F3 with her. However, I wouldn't be quick to downplay Tony's social game compared to Sarah's. Tony's social game is why he's controlling the game thus far. He's been able to build trust and maneuver back and forth between alliances seamlessly.

Zach is a complete and utter baby and he's selfish. I think back to that season where Amanda brought up the Bumble app situation and I remember thinking "WOW! He literally just turned the whole thing around on Jenna and Jenna did nothing wrong". He made Jenna feel like it was her fault. If I recall correctly, Jenna was apologizing by the end of it and he's the one that fucked up. To me, even though she's a little ditsy, Jenna seems like a sweetheart. She can do better but she doesn't seem to know that yet. #ChallengeLogic lol

So Tony heard Denise’s conversation with Ben and Sarah at the water well about a Final 3 without Tony. As far as we saw, Ben and Sarah didn’t tell Tony about that conversation. I’m wondering does that make Tony worry a little about that.

I'm gonna continue the trend... One thing that gets me is that Kailah is frustrated with the situation and she's like "I don't wanna feEd into this" when Bear calls her over, yet she goes and she feeds right into it. #ChallengeLogic

The disadvantage that Tony got from EoE, that was worth 8 fire tokens.

I'm not entirely clear on what was Nick's plan. Give the disadvantage to Ben so that Michele or Nick wins... and then what?

Brad is far more brash than Tony. I do overlook the thought sometimes that the game is more nuanced. Any time I think of a winner, that is the person that I believe has the best game play. It seems like most, if not all, of us agree that Tony has the best game play and therefore will win. In Game Changers, I genuinely thought Sarah played the best game and therefore was gonna win, and the same goes for Tony in Cagayan and Jeremy in Cambodia and so on. Despite that, the jury doesn't always vote that way.

To paint more of the picture that I'm seeing in my head... the picture assumes that Nick is not in the final 3. The picture assumes that it's Tony, Sara and (X)... with (X) being Michele, Denise, or Ben. But you never know...

I agree. Rogan should not have been given a red skull because he didn't win by the rules of the game.

I think that Tony is a lock to win based on Boston Rob's reaction when Kim was voted out saying "Tony's a boss." I imagine the EoE players talk about TCs at least a little bit. I imagine Rob is not the only one seeing that "Tony's a boss." I imagine as they're on the outside looking in also, they see Tony, more than anyone else, playing the game.

I don't recall. I'd have to back and rewatch. As far as I remember, Ben ignored and brushed off Jeremy because they showed Ben saying he thought Jeremy was going to win so Jeremy was Ben's sole target. Ben was making it blatantly clear to everyone, including the target that is Jeremy, that he wanted Jeremy out. Aftering ignoring Jeremy and not wanting to work with him, Jeremy went on to say that Ben was a child and was annoying. I could be misremembering.

It’s late but Michele really had nowhere to go. She lost most of her alliance once Kim and Denise jumped ship without her. She’s been left out of every vote, even when she’s willing to be a number for the majority. No one but Jeremy was willing to actually play the game with her.

I agree. She’s just been comic relief all season. For that reason only, I hope she sticks around.

That could’ve been one of Nick’s moves to get out Ben when Tony confronted him about Kim’s plan... had Nick not been such a terrible liar. Nick could have used that moment to turn the tables on Ben, but it caught up to Nick and was one of the reasons he got voted out. Tony couldn’t trust him anymore.

From the way things look, Denise isn't going to the end. I'm curious at what she believes her path to the FTC is. She's voting out everyone that could have been a number for her. It seems that her and Ben are close, according to Sarah, She's not turning Ben but I believe Ben will turn on her before Tony. It seems like Ben is in everyone's final 3. Everybody knows Ben has made no moves, they know they can beat him. I thought Jeff was gonna flip it.

This one thing is what got me in Michele's corner. She's the only one making sense. Sarah is just as much of an idiot as Nick.

Completely agree! Here's what I'm thinking that could light a fire in her... Whoever the person is that returns from EoE, if that person will tell her that Tony is running the game and now she has some jury insight and knows how the EoE players were thinking.

So am I because she's the only one making sense.

I don't understand why both Sarah and Ben believe they can win over Tony. I would love to know.

1) Nick is a fucking idiot. It's a great strategy to vote with the person that knows you lied to them about discussing voting them out. Its not like he lied and Tony guessed that he lied. Nick outright admitted to the lie after being such a bad liar. 2) Why does it take playing from the bottom to make sense? Thank you Michele for making sense. I don't know why Sara and Ben believe that if they go to the end with Tony, they'll win. They haven't played the game, they rode the wave. It was pretty one-sided when it started. Ben hated Jeremy and Jeremy tried to talk to Ben and see if Ben would work with him... and Ben wasn't havin' it.