Well except for the power app he "won".
He's playing an excellent social game. He's clearly very skilled at getting people to like and trust him. That being said, I don't really see a lot of strategic genius. Then again, we're only in week 4. The real test is when he has to go after people who thought he had their back. That's why I see more Paul than Dan, tbh. He's overextended himself with the amount of people who trust him. Could lead to a bitter jury.