Carmen Carrera claims to have been transitioning for six months when Drag Race started to air. I'd venture to guess she's cheating the dates a little bit and was transitioning while on the show. For that reason, I don't think Carmen is a fair comparison. In any event, I agree that Courtney has a box body and should avoid bikini-esque looks.
I see Courtney making the Top Three
. I think she'll come harder now that she's received a warning and will rise in the back half of the season. Having seen her on Transfahionable and I Will Survive, I think she's far too warm, charismatic and genuinely helpful to not do well in the makeover challenge. Also, depending on whether the Ball challenge is all make your own (Season 3), or make one out of the 4 looks (Seasons 1, 2, 4, 5), she certainly has the closet and the ability to turn a look. This is something Adore and Joslyn, who I also love and want to make it far, can't do quite as well.