Yeah, I think I definitely overstated the fact that Keith in the F3 is a lock. Especially if Natalie is there, as mentioned. Other than that, while he hasn't done anything other than win, I hardly think anyone outside of Natalie would be deserving to win either. No one has done anything to force the jury to have to go with that person over Keith. Pretty hard to play the game when you're outnumbered and lack control.
That being said, my fault for saying he'll win for sure if he gets there; but I like his chances for the most part.
Loving Natalie. Never really had an issue with her, and her recent moves helped her in terms of respect. She is the first person in Survivor history to return from Exile Island and win the IC, I think. Terry's run was interrupted with Bruce's exit, IIRC.
Baylor winning probably would happen more if Keith and/or Missy were on the jury. IMO, she ain't winning. Her plan to get Natalie out would be trumped by Natalie's plan to get Baylor out (unless Baylor wins Final Immunity with Keith gone at 5).