lorfor

I get what you're saying and it makes sense, however, this is not a new thing that is only a few weeks old. Bran has been at the top for months now in multiple parlors. While some of that could most definitely be attributed to what you mention, I don't think he would have this type of 6-10 month consistency at the top if it was based on speculative betting only. Yet, no one else has ever caught him in that time period in these odds. It looks like more than speculative betting to me, simply because considering the nature of the character and how unimaginable him coming out on top seemed at the conclusion of season 7. It's hard to imagine that the amount of people and/or amount being put down on him, is being done totally in the dark with no potential insider knowledge. There's been 8 years to bet on Bran in these kind of entertainment bets, and he's suddenly exploded to the top of heap in only the last 6 months which just so happen to fall right before the final season. Seems like an awfully big coincidence.

I'm not ignoring the betting odds. Its way too big a jump to ignore. Insider betting is a real thing in Hollywood and often plagues film and television if you pay attention to it. When season 7 ended Bran was 15/1. Dany was 3/1. He is now 6/4 and Dany 12/1. A massive jump for Bran and a massive fall for Dany, all in one offseason with no leaks, no pictures, limited interviews, nothing to go on. This is too much to ignore. Nobody is putting their hard earned money on random Bran for no reason. It's not just Bovada either. Here's a list of all the odds and betting parlors As you can see Bran tops all of them. Dany has fallen through the floor on all of them. To be honest with you, the fact she has fallen so much while Jon has remained steady is an interesting thing. I'm not ready to say he lives and she dies, but it's an interesting thing to keep an eye on.

The only reason people believe BSB as a legitimate source is because they give a happy ending to Jon and Daenerys. If they did not the freefolk sub would dismiss them as irrelevant. But it is utterly ridiculous to think that an American (you can tell by the writing and spelling of certain words) with a tumblr or AO3-esque username would in any way have a direct source of information about what is or is not being filmed in the dead of night in Belfast or Seville, Spain. Someone is just randomly PMing a person with a username like that information about what is being filmed on the third biggest Game of Thrones centered subreddit? Please. You notice this person didn't get info for the previous 7 seasons. But now all of a sudden they have a source, and not only do they have a source but they have source who trusts someone calling themselves "BoatSexBaby". Sure. I don't even know if Friki is correct, but I would trust him a hell of a lot more. Because he has a track record and has legit sources on the ground. Someone called "BoatSexBaby" most certainly does not.