
Wouter
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Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
I doubt that would be GRRM's idea of a good ending. The idea being that the creation of the 7K limited the number of conflicts (in spite of the wars with Dorne and later the various civil wars and rebellions) and stimulated the economy, and so generally should be considered a good thing. Take the generally pleasant relations between the Vale and the North now, versus the situation when Arryns and Starks were still in full power. After an invasion by the WW's on top of an already devastating internal war, I think most of the individual regions would be happy to receive aid from other portions. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
According to Friki, she lives. Other potential leaks (bsb) and filming info (seville) indicates Sansa makes it at least to the last episode. No credible source has pointed to Sansa dying. I doubt Turner would use that tattoo if her character didn’t make it in spite of the pack uniting. And her book arc calls for a character that will have the skillset to help rebuild westeros after the war. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
Attack wf after the grand battle with the nk? Or turn tail at some time (near wf or at kl)? Or only to provide Cersei with a credible army, independently of Jaime (who left) and Euron (who has his own designs)? Jon and Dany could choose to engage nk in the field, but there are some problems. They would need to be confident about the nk’s location and movements and they would have to deal with the cold (wf is heated). And wasn’t the apparent strategy to gather and protect civilians and armies in wf, for which they were hoarding food? From the trailer footage, it also seems a large part of Dany’s forces is in wf to defend it, when the walkers come. I doubt she would want to engage tte nk in the field without her max strength, so taking the field would be going all in for a battle somewhere between wf and the wall. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
The trailer seemed to show Dany's forces (including unsulled, Dothraki, Jorah, Brienne, Pod) making a stand right in front of Winterfell, with one scene having men running through a gate (which may be people retreating to one of the walled areas of Winterfell). It is heavily implied the NK is the one who is coming to knock the door; we see what are probably hooves of a dead horse, approaching the barricaded Winterfell. Conclusion: Dany's forces are largely or wholly in Winterfell, to defend it, when someone comes to attack it, and that is almost certainly the NK. At least, it would be anticlimatic if that epic battle in 8x03 is against the Golden Company. Even if it would be, they are likely to be defeated by Dany's numerous forces (quite possibly augmented by her dragons) aided by Winterfell's strong walls. If the GC attacks Winterfell, it seems more likely that they do so after the NK has attacked and Dany may have moved her dragons (if those survived) and part of her army to pursue the undead enemy. But, that would make at least 3 battles this season, 2 of those at Winterfell. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
With all the expectations of KL being burned pretty much completely, there may indeed be mass chaos requiring action scenes of a different nature. As for BSB's claims, that it is a historical site makes those a bit more believable. Even Friki claimed that extras were training for such a scene, allthough it was only a ruse according to his source. And since it is a historical site, they couldn't use it for more than a few days as the place is needed for tourism. The same problem was present with the action scenes in the Water Gardens, where the quality of the action was limited exactly because the crew had so many obstacles in filming (including a limited amount of time to film). -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
We don't know if all the characters are at KL. According to Boatsexbaby, there were action scenes filmed in Seville, including for such characters as Sansa and Tyrion. According to Friki, Seville was only a scene after the fight with the NK was well over. Only if BSB is correct do we know all those characters are at KL (but then Friki's leak seems doubtful, as they contradict one another to some extent, as both have admitted). If Friki is correct about the Seville scenes, then we don't know if characters like Sansa or Sam are present. Besides, how would that work, fleeing to KL? Cersei is in KL and the (or an) army from the NK is apparently on its way there. Fleeing to another castle in possession of the alliance (such as Casterly Rock, castles in the Vale, maybe even Riverrun depending on what Jaime does with his garrison forces before he comes to WF) would make more sense. And if the NK destroys Winterfell, what has happened to Dany's army? To her dragons? If those are destroyed or knocked out, it would be up to Cersei to defeat the NK. Surely that's not going to happen? The only way I see Dany's forces largely surviving - yet with Winterfell getting destroyed - is if the army took the field against the Wights and was flanked or engaged by a secondary army of the NK while the main body turns on WF. Is there any indication Dany and/or Jon intend to meet the NK in the field, rather than from the relatively safety of castle walls and protected fireplaces? The alternative is that not only the "named" characters, the women and the children and other non-combatants, but also a significant part of the army all escape through the cypts and secret passages. Even if Winterfell doesn't fall, they could still follow the army if this moves to the south (Sansa could go the Vale with some of the Vale knights, for example). The advantage of Winterfell not falling is that there should still be an army. There could easily be fighting still. The battle for Winterfell is likely a victory for the alliance I think. But if the NK survives with Viserion at his disposal, he could still be a dire threat. You've pointed out that Sophie Turner, for example, didn't seem to film during a long period (and if she did, it would have been in a studio). That makes it rather likely that the focus in 8x05 will be on characters such as Arya and Jon, who did film extensively. And they may well have tons of action; we know that at least a part of KL will be burned as we saw the photos of the set. There will be a battle, but exactly who will be involved remains to be seen. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
Kaysen on Freefolk still is unsure about Friki's leaks, and I guess so are we. With all those extraordinary measures taken by HBO, it's hard to tell which are feints and which are real. The NK can lose at Winterfell (defined as not getting in the castle far enough to kill everyone or nearly everyone, and taking major losses in the process) and still continue to KL. In case he loses badly, this could even be a move of desperation: he alone on Viserion (or with a small group of WW's and possibly remaining wights) to KL in order to build a new (wight) army from the inhabitants. Or, if he loses but keeps a part of his army (or even if the battle ends at a draw and he makes the decision that going for KL will yield quicker and better results than maintaining an attack or siege on Winterfell) he could decide to go for a target that is less tough. When people say WF gets burned down, they usually seem to mean the castle gets entirely destroyed and survivors (apparently a remarkably high number, considering the amound of main characters still around for 8x06) escape through the crypts (and, I suppose, a secret exit from there to behind enemy lines). This may be possible, but the alternative is that the inner section of Winterfell holds and the fire is waging mainly or entirely between both walls, hopefully with lots of wights in it. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
If anything, book Tyrion is more likely to turn against his family, as he seems to hate Cersei far more than in the show. It's possible (but not very likely) he would take the side of (f)Aegon though. Betraying Dany at the end (if he hasn't done so earlier by going to (f)Aegon), sounds unlikely to me unless Jaime's fate is involved. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
It is not certain Winterfell gets burned down. There was a serious fire on the set, but it hasn't been confirmed Winterfell was completely destroyed. It's a large structure with two defensive walls. It's possible the fire is started by the defenders. It's unlikely that the alliance will lose the battle, yet most of the characters (and a sizable part of the army and both dragons, presumably) escape to fight again at or near KL. If the NK wins, it should be game over. So even if Winterfell does get burned down with heavy losses to northern, Vale and Targaryen armies, the NK should suffer equivalent losses or lose control of (most of) his wights or else he would be unstoppable. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
I agree, there can hardly be a total defeat at Winterfell, for Dany's forces. But while the army of the death may be (largely or entirely) be defeated there - where Winter fell - the NK might escape, with Viserion and maybe with a group of white walkers, to go make new wights at KL. Ot maybe he had split his army beforehand, so only one of his armies is defeated and the other one goes straight for the main prize. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
I think all three are supposed to be older versions, allthough it is most obvious with Jon's statue. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
While Dany as queen of the 7K (and as such, indeed owner of Westeros and everything on it) would be within her theoretical rights to strip the Starks of Winterfell, her alliance with the north in general and with Jon in particular would be over, as well. Dany is allied to Jon - the normal thing to do with allies is to support them and reward them for services provided. Realistically, she could only move against Sansa in so far she can get Jon to agree or at least to accept, and preferably at least a part of the northern lords would have to accept as well. In Westeros, it's generally quite normal to strip rebellious/defeated lords of their lands, castles, etc. The Tullys had it happen to them during the books/show, and arguably Robert should have done it to the Greyjoys after their first rebellion (not doing so has proven to be a mistake, even if in other instances Robert's mercy worked well). One could argue that the Starks should have stripped the Boltons of their lands and titles, long ago. In the books, Jon allies with Lady Karstark and arranges a way for her to regain her castle and lands, but he has good reasons to trust her as she rebels against her uncles who support the Boltons. He also takes hostages from the Wildlings, though. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
It's a long-standing theory among bookreaders that Dany's dragons are "lightbringer" (the magical weapon to use against the Others/White Walkers) and Drogo was the sacrifice to claim that weapon. The existence of Jon, as a serious competitor as far as "prince that was promised" goes, is the main reason that this theory didn't get universally accepted. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
Jon is nobly born, too, even without the Rhaegar revelation taken into account. An acknowledged noble bastard is still a noble himself, with nobly privileges. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
Just so. Many on Freefolk seem to pretend both are right, but their presentation of the Seville scene(s) is very different. At least one of them does not have the correct information, as far as Seville is concerned. What is Friki's track record in getting accurate spoilers, other than his shortly-before-airing S7 info? He came into conflict with HBO before, but I didn't follow the spoiler scene at that time. What did he spoil? Arya was distrustful of LF (rightly so), but she still let herself be played by him until the moment he overplayed his hand by attempting to sell the idea to Sansa that Arya wanted to be lady of Winterfell. If Tyrion is planning a betrayal, he may well get away with it for a while, just like LF. I do have a problem with Tyrion's motives for betrayal though, considering Jaime is switching sides and the NK is on to them. Betrayal would be self-destructive. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
BSB says she has no information about a Tyrion trial and doesn't know what will or won't happen with him. She does maintain that action was filmed at Seville, at least greenscreens were used and stunt people were there. Friki, though, has stated that HBO went for massive misdirection in Seville by flying in actors that didn't film (Joe Dempsie, for example, Jon's body double was also singled out) and by having extras train for an action scene that never was filmed (according to Friki). He also stated that it was an intimate, natural scene without CGI (no green screen, no props) and without any action. BSB has admitted her information clashes with Friki's (who is backed-up by Javi) and that time will tell who has the correct information. They can't both be (100%) right though! Friki and Javi have the advantage of their reputation and they actually come face-to-face with fans, they are not anonymous. This gives them credence, allthough it doesn't mean it's certain they got the right info (Friki's statement of Bran citing "I always chose my family" may be a bit suspect in this regard, as it is a book-only line). BSB is an anonymous member of the Freefolk Reddit group which means she has far less credence, but OTOH her (limited) leaks sound more in line with logical expectations. Then again, when Lads told us about the wight hunt before S7 it was hard to believe, too, so maybe Tyrion does betray the good guys. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
Agreed, and theoretically the Tyrells could also do it should they be able to get rid of Cersei and take complete control over KL and the Faith. However, since (f)Aegon is a Varys/Illyrio project, since (f)Aegon seems destined for Arianna Martell or Elia Sand in the books and since he isn't in the show at all, I guess it's very unlikely (in the books) that LF would seek alliance with Aegon (and by extension, Varys). He may go for Dany instead, assuming Sansa and Arya haven't gotten rid of him by then. But annulment by Jon/Dany is still on the table, if they indeed survive as final monarchs (or even one of them). Still undecided on Friki's leaks, we'll see. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
The five year gap does not imply it can’t be annulled afterwards. If Jon and Dany reign at the very end, they can easily arrange an annulment if this would be needed. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
We don't know if book Tyrion would have any resentment for Sansa at the equivalent point in the books. Tyrion during ADWD has a lot of resentment for Jaime as well, but will it last? At the end of ADWD, he admits to himself that he misses Jaime (and possibly Sansa as well, depending on interpretation). By the time he comes face to face with Sansa again, he will also be back on top of the world, at least in the show he will come as hand to the Queen. And probably more concerned with limiting the damage, rather than the vengeance he wants during much of ADWD, when he's down, powerless and depressed. Not only is lack of consummation not enough by itself (in the books), one would expect this would have to provable in both book and show. Otherwise any marriage could be broken by one side claiming there never was consummation (see Robert and Cersei - since the children weren't his, he could have claimed this until he died). It's possible that in the books, the main purpose of the marriage is to keep LF's plans for a Harry/Sansa marriage on ice, in which case it simply wouldn't be needed in the show (past the purple wedding). Even if not, it may be annulled (in the books that we will never get) yet once a monarch sympathetic to Sansa (and optionally, to Tyrion) is securely in power and able to twist the arm of the Faith. To see the marriage last (so in the show, for them to re-marry or to reaffirm the validity of the original marriage), I think only a theoretical option wherein Tyrion is Aerys' bastard and Dany and Jon have no offspring (but one or both are around with a wish to preserve house Targaryen) could result in that. However, the probable existence of "boatsexbaby" makes this unlikely. The show has also downplayed Tyrion's possible bastard status since he freed the dragons. With Tyrion as a straight Lannister, there does not seem any reason for Sansa to commit or recommit to this marriage. While I don't think Dany would force a Sansa/Tyrion marriage (except for the unlikely case where the future of her bloodline would depend on it), this is a good point relative to how Sansa could view Dany in early S8 (and in between S7 and S8). Sansa does not know Dany, she does know who her father is and what he did, though. In so far Dany has a reputation of her own, it's probably that of a foreign conqueror that brings Dothraki to Westerosi shores and who executes opponents with fire. Sansa is quite possibly aware of Torrhen Stark and what happened to his daughter, at the behest of the conquerors that made him kneel. Now, she knows that Jon has also knelt in much the same way as Torrhen did. Furthermore, it was indicated (in background material or interviews, IIRC) that Sansa seeks power exactly to be safe of such things like arranged/forced marriages. With merely Jon on his own as King, she was perfectly safe in this regard. So if Sansa is far from thrilled with Jon's move (at first, before she gets to know Dany and before she gets to truly experience TAOTD), think about from her perspective. As absolute ruler, Dany could in effect take Sansa as a glorified hostage with or without a marriage that she would chose based on her politics. And since Sansa doesn't (yet) know what the relationship between Jon and Dany is (for all she knows, Jon had to make serious concessions on top of kneeling, to get the alliance he sorely needed, and he is merely one of her underlings now), she couldn't automatically count on Jon stopping it. Torrhen apparently couldn't or wouldn't stop it for his own daughter, either. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
While I don’t know about being angry about (supposedly) enabling Dany, I do expect Sansa will be sensitive about being seen as Tyrion’s wife (as Lyanna Mormont threw in her face in s6), especially now that Tyrion has played a decisive role in getting Jon to kneel to Dany. And I wonder if the casual dismissal of the marriage in s5 may yet turn out to be not quite 100% valid, depending on point of view, considering things don’t work like that in the books. Sansa may have to return to something closer to her probable book plot, in this respect. In which case, it will have to be resolved in some way. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
I like the sound of that! It also makes sense that the Starks would work together post-LF, and nearing the end. The pack sticks together and it's a time for wolves, after all. I think Sansa and Arya would also end up working closely together in the books, once they work out their inevitable issues (grrm has hinted as much), under the guidance of all-seeing Bran. Their skillsets are complementary in the political game, and all that training must be good for something. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
The amount of survivors there must be among the main characters - as the filming in Seville indicates, even regardless of claims by Friki and/or Boatsexbaby - seems to say that the NK loses the battle. KL may be his last attempt to win by attempting to access a ready supply of people to be potentially wightified, after the fighting in/around Winterfell didn't go the way he wanted. While it is possible that the survivors escape through secret tunnels, it seems unlikely to me unless there is a battle in Winterfell and a separate battle involving Dany. I guess at least one battle has to be won or everyone is toast. We're almost sure that the Dany/Jon alliance emerges victorious in the end, which would indicate they cannot lose the vast majority of their troops in Winterfell. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
She does, several on this forum alone. I'm one of few who wants to see Sansa's (book) storyline in the Vale reach completion. But then, I like most of the main characters. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
We don't know that for sure (it still remains to be seen how bad that fire is; Winterfell is large and there are obviously a lot of survivors, suggesting the NK doesn't really win) and even if it does, chances are it will be rebuilt just like the last time it burned down. Friki had a rumour about reconstruction starting on Winterfell. However, Jon's parentage will come out, removing him from Ned's direct line and putting him somewhere in Targaryen succession instead. If he survives and remains involved in the affairs of the realm, it's more likely to be from whatever the seat of the King and/or Queen will be. -
Season 8: Speculation and Spoilers Discussion
Wouter replied to Eyes High's topic in Game Of Thrones
While Dany could strip Sansa from the title (and even give it to Jorah or Grey Worm or her favourite Dothraki bloodrider instead, should she be so inclined), doing so would not only be a slap in the face of the Starks, it would also mean a vote of no-confidence in Jon's decisions. Not only did Jon yield Winterfell to Sansa in the first place, he also put her in charge of the entire north in his absence. Unless Jon would agree with the decision to remove Sansa, doing so would mean the alliance and relation between Dany and Jon would be destroyed before it even truly begun. Stripping someone of titles and lands is something done to traitors, not to people you consider to be allies. Jon is her warden in the north (meaning: lord paramount in book terms), it would be his decision to take and since Sansa has done well in his absence (keeping the lords under control, preparing the castle for a siege and having LF killed in a sufficiently Stark-y way, looking him in the eye and hearing his plea and all) why would he want to alienate his family and his lords? In turn, why would Dany want to humiliate Jon? I don't know what Glover will do (though he isn't the bravest man around, to rebel against Dothraki, unsullied and dragons), but we have seen in the minimal teaser footage we got that Sansa welcomes Jon back home. And she was already aware at the end of S7 that he had knelt to Dany. If she "revolts", it will amount to little more than a sharp discussion in private, I think. Dany made him "warden of the north", which means the other lords in the north have to swear fealty to him while he swears to Dany in turn. The lord of Winterfell isn't automatically the warden/lord paramount, if a Bolton had managed to take control of the Starks (while those were still kings), they would likely have ruled from the Dreadfort. If Dany wants to give Jon lands of his own, she could always make him prince of Dragonstone (a traditional title for the Targ heir) and/or give him the Dreadfort and the lands of the Boltons. Just so. Another example would be Riverrun during the war of the five kings: at the start of the war, it was the seat of the lord paramount of the riverlands (Hoster and then Edmure Tully). At the end of the war, the Lannisters took the castle from Edmure and gave it to one of the Freys (Gemma's husband), but the title of lord paramount went to Littlefinger, along with the seat of Harrenhal. Harrenhal had incidentally been the seat of the kings of Iron Islands and Riverlands, when Aegon burned it. To make things more complicated, the de-facto power in the Riverlands is probably held in the Twins, by Walder Frey, at the time of AFFC. For one thing, Walder holds many hostages to keep the other lords in line, and LF so far isn't attempting to turn his theoretical title into reality. I wrote that Jeor Mormont released his bannermen from fealty (if he even has any, I suppose at least some landed knights may be on Mormont lands), I did not mean to imply this was done in some grand ceremony. He gave up his obligations (as his bannermen swear fealty, he also has a duty to protect them) and his heir - not Jorah, obviously - took them over, along with the fealty of his bannermen. We did not read about this in the books, because Mormont was already lord commander (for quite some time, I suppose) when we met him. We also didn't read about a rebellion on Bear Island having to be put down, so I guess the transfer of power went down smoothly. The vows to Jon were made to the King in the North, not to the lord of Winterfell. Jon explicitly wasn't lord of Winterfell when he was elected as King (Sansa was/is the lady of Winterfell), so the vows clearly do not depend on him owning land. Jon is still following the spirit of his oath, it seems to me: hold no lands and defend the realm of men. The latter happens to demand that he defeats the Boltons, gets to lead the north and make an alliance with Dany. Maybe he did change the terms of the vow, since being subject to the Iron Throne wasn't part of the deal. But then, it wasn't with Torrhen either. And Torrhen didn't have a Night King with army breathing down his back. It wasn't even winter. Circumstances are far more dire for the north, now.