Let's see - Sarah is going to the hospital to be 'inducted' (her words last episode). I have no idea how long that takes. But Michael tells her he wants to be there to see the birth of his child this time. OK.
But Sarah is still in NY, right? So setting aside the obvious problems of the ankle monitor, travel restrictions, and lack of a driver's license he gets in the car to drive there. (Unless the producers are faking us out.) Just one additional problem. If Sarah is indeed still in Farmington NY, the shortest driving distance between them is 354 miles. Assuming normal speeds, not stopping for a drug deal, not going an hour in the wrong direction, and avoiding any desperate Texas virgins along the way, that's a 5 hour, 30 minute drive. Might make it there in time for the birth. Maybe. But...
That route goes through Canada. Which ain't gonna happen with no passport or ID.
So a route that stays in the US would involve going through south to Ohio, then through Pennsylvania and western New York. That's more likely a 12-hour drive or so.
I don't know if Sarah's 'induction' is going to last 12 hours or more but considering it's not her first child, I'd say probably not. So the chances of Mikey the Magnificent being there for the birth of his most recent spawn are low.
All of which is to say - does this mental mastermind really think it's possible to be there for the birth? Or is he just looking for any excuse to get away from his family & house? Or are the producers messing with us? I keep going back and forth each episode thinking all these people can't really be this stupid. But then they keep proving me wrong.